Welcome to the Data Driven NHL value page. Every day I find a few plays that my model thinks are undervalued and post them for here for free. I get all the picks from the Value Vault. The Value Vault sifts through the daily NHL lines and reports the lines with an edge according to my model (GPM2).

Plays For June 2nd

Safe Play: Mitch Marner U 1.5 Points

This has a 76.0% chance to hit. Playable at odds better than 1.32 (-317). The Value Vault found it at 1.38 (-260).

50/50 Play: Ivan Barbashev O 0.5 Points

This has a 51.2% chance to hit. Playable at odds better than 1.95 (-105). The Value Vault found it at 2.20 (+120).

Longshot: Jaccob Slavin Anytime Goal

This has a 9.2% chance to hit. Playable at odds better than 10.85 (+985). The Value Vault found it at 20.0 (+1900).

Results

	Average Prob.	Hit Percent	Average Odds	ROI w/ fixed stake
Safe Plays	71.5%	54.5% (12/22)	1.76 (-131)	-5.4%
50/50 Plays	53.6%	68.2% (15/22)	2.15 (+115)	45.0%
Longshots	10.25%	9.1% (2/22)	16.09 (+1509)	38.6%

A $10 stake per play has returned a profit of $172.00 (+26.1%)

Updated June 2nd, 2026 at 8:50 AM.