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Sample Player Card Sample Player Card

The production cards contain full-season production projections (i.e., projected number of goals, assists and points) for all NHL skaters.

  • Production Model: uses 3 years of historical data to project future on-ice and personal shot rates, shot quality, shooting percentage, IPP/assist rates, etc. The entirety of the NHL season is simulated game-by-game 10,000 times and projected icetime, linemates and competition are accounted for in the simulations.
  • Production Cards: This tab contains cards where you can select any NHL skater and see a breakdown of how they are expected to produce this season. The breakdown includes: (1) their most likely, maximum and minimum goal, assist and point totals, (2) their probabilities of winning the Art Ross and Rocket Richard trophies, (3) histograms of their projected point, goal and assist totals, and (4) their probabilities of hitting goal, assist and point milestones
  • Projected Leaderboards: This tab contains a ranked list of NHL skaters based on their projected end of season point, goal and assist totals. It also includes tables with Art Ross probabilities, Rocket Richard probabilities and Assist Leader probabilities.

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